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The Carry Trade Defies Theory

Date24 Aug 2015

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The success of the carry trade strategy has led to its widespread proliferation, despite the fact that it contradicts economic theory. In short, this strategy involves borrowing (going short) a currency with a relatively low interest rate and using the proceeds to purchase (going long) a currency yielding a higher interest rate, capturing the interest...

An Emotional Balance Sheet Can Guide Hard-to-Quantify Financial Choices

Date24 Aug 2015

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A few years ago, I came across a blog post by a writer named Emma Johnson who declared, in no uncertain terms, that “You. Cannot. Afford. To. Be. A. Full-time. Stay-at-home mom. You just can’t.” I like strong opinions because they make me think and help me clarify my own feelings, and this statement certainly...

What Is Our Attention Really Worth?

Date24 Aug 2015

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Pay attention! We hear this command a lot, often from parents and teachers. People want to remind us to focus on what we’re doing. But I’ve been thinking about a more literal meaning: paying with our attention. Attention is a currency. We choose how to spend it, just like we spend our time, energy and...

The Meritless Assault on the DOL’s Fiduciary Rule

Date24 Aug 2015

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The assault on the fiduciary rule proposed by the U.S. Department of Labor (DOL) has intensified. Republicans from the House Committee on Education and the Workforce recently asked Labor Secretary Thomas Perez to “immediately withdraw” the rule. Why? Because they believe it will “reduce investment options and increase costs for retirement savers.” The Financial Industry...

When Bonds Act Like Stocks

Date24 Aug 2015

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Research into the determinants of fixed-income returns have found that a number of stock and bond market risk factors can be shown to demonstrate explanatory power beyond the standard term-structure variables. Ivelina Pavlova, Ann Marie Hibbert, Joel Barber and Krishnan Dandapani—authors of the paper “Credit Spreads and Regime Shifts,” which appears in the Summer 2015...

There’s Hope For 401(k) Participants

Date24 Aug 2015

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It has been my long-held view that most 401(k) plans are a national disgrace. Most 401(k) plans are flawed Part of the problem is that the underlying concept behind how many 401(k) plans are administered is fatally flawed. They assume that employee plan participants are capable of managing their retirement assets, or even willing to...

Battle Of New Factor Models

Date24 Aug 2015

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In their groundbreaking paper, “Digesting Anomalies: An Investment Approach,” Kewei Hou, Chen Xue and Lu Zhang proposed a new four-factor asset pricing model that goes a long way toward explaining many of the anomalies neither the Fama-French three-factor nor subsequent four-factor models could explain. The study, which was published in the March 2015 issue of...

Behavioral Finance Trumped

Date24 Aug 2015

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Richard Thaler, a professor of behavioral science and economics at the University of Chicago Booth School of Business, is widely considered one of behavioral finance’s founding fathers (along with Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky). His excellent new book, “Misbehaving,” is partly a history of how the field of behavioral finance originated and developed, despite hurdles...

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