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Learning Center

Managing Risk With Factors

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Larry Swedroe unpacks an illustration supporting factor diversification for portfolio efficiency. The holy grail of investing is the search for investment strategies that can deliver higher expected returns without increased risk, or the same expected return with reduced risk. In our 2014 book, “Reducing the Risk of Black Swans,” my co-author Kevin Grogan and I...

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Don’t Write Off Value

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Larry Swedroe takes a look at the data and builds his case for why investors should continue to expect a value premium going forward. Recency bias—the tendency to give too much weight to recent experience and ignore long-term historical evidence—underlies many of the mistakes commonly made by investors. It’s particularly dangerous because it causes investors...

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When Manager Skill Is Really Factor Exposure

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Larry Swedroe unpacks a recent study suggesting that, when selecting active mutual funds, investors confuse loading on common factors with managerial skill. Extensive and readily available data show that the persistence of active managers’ outperformance is well below what we would expect from pure chance (randomness). Making matters worse is that the equity managers who...

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The Benefits of Managed Volatility Strategies

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Larry Swedroe tackles research into how managing volatility shapes outcomes and utility. There’s a large body of research demonstrating that, while past returns do not predict future returns, past volatility largely predicts future near-term volatility. For example, since 1926, the correlation of returns between adjacent 60-trading-day periods is essentially zero. In contrast, the correlation rises...

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Bitcoin: Investment or Bubble?

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Larry Swedroe explores whether bitcoin is a worthwhile investment or is still purely speculative. As the director of research at Buckingham Strategic Wealth and The BAM Alliance, it’s not surprising that I’ve been getting lots of calls lately about investing in bitcoin. Just seven years ago, bitcoins were trading at about 10 cents. Four years...

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Checking in on 2017’s ‘Sure Things’

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Larry Swedroe checks in on how 2017’s “sure thing” predictions fared through the third quarter. At the start of 2017, I compiled a list of predictions that gurus had made for the upcoming year, along with some items that I hear frequently from investors, for a sort of consensus on the year’s “sure things.” I’ve...

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