Learning Center

Beware Lure of Market Timing

Date14 Apr 2014

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Market-timing strategies attempt to outperform a buy-and-hold strategy by anticipating the future direction of a market. They can work, but mostly they don’t. First, such strategies are based on the belief that future security prices are predictable, typically through the use of technical indicators, such as trend following or momentum, that are computed from the...

Risk & The Two Faces Of Beta

Date14 Apr 2014

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There’s a growing body of evidence that beta is actually a two-sided, not a one-sided, “coin,” and those two faces are separated by perceptions of risk. Being risk averse, most investors care more than just about the standard deviation of returns (volatility), assigning more weight to downside deviations from the mean than to upside deviations....

Perspective on High-Frequency Trading

Date14 Apr 2014

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I have received a number of questions since “60 Minutes” ran a piece on high-frequency trading (HFT)on March 30 (lest we forget, this is the same “60 Minutes” that ran a piece in 2010 that predicted the municipal market would implode in 2011, and we all know how that turned out). I’ll summarize what I think...

How The Supreme Court Could Stop the 401(k) Rip-off

Date14 Apr 2014

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The Supreme Court of the United States has indicated an interest in deciding an important 401(k) case, Tibble v. Edison International. If the Supreme Court decides to hear the Tibble case, and if it decides it in a manner that will benefit investors, the impact could be profound. Before discussing the issues at play in...

Find the Needles in the Financial Pornography Haystack

Date14 Apr 2014

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It’s unfortunate that most of what passes for financial news is misleading and harmful to investors. It consists of supremely confident “financial gurus” predicting the future. They are either warning us of an imminent crash or observing that a bull run is just beginning. We are inundated with conflicting recommendations about the value of commodities,...

What You Can Learn From Bill Gross And PIMCO’s Troubles

Date14 Apr 2014

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“Trouble. Trouble, trouble, trouble, trouble.” Reading all the news about Bill Gross and PIMCO, I keep hearing that Ray LaMontagne song in my head. (Go ahead—give it a listen while you read this, just for fun.) The king of bonds isn’t yet abdicating the throne, but it’s been a rough stretch since PIMCO came down from the mountain...

Make your career move an easy job

Date14 Apr 2014

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You know what has to be done, but it doesn’t make it any easier. You’ve done all the research, asked all the questions and mulled over your options, and you know that moving on from your current company is the right thing to do. You wince, imagining the look on the face of your boss...

Here’s a Money-Making Strategy: Save More

Date14 Apr 2014

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A couple of weeks ago, I got an email from someone living nearby who wanted to talk about his investment plan. We arranged a time to meet, and I got to spend an hour being a sounding board. It didn’t take long to discover that he was making a common mistake. It’s one I’ve made,...

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